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Are Egg Producers Inflating Costs?

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March 2, 2025
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Are Egg Producers Inflating Costs?
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OMAHA, Neb. — Egg producers blame the chicken flu outbreak for driving costs to file highs, however critics consider big firms are profiting from their market dominance to revenue handsomely on the expense of budget-conscious egg consumers.

Advocacy teams, Democratic lawmakers and a Federal Commerce Fee member are calling for a authorities investigation after egg costs spiked to a file common of $4.95 per dozen this month. The Trump administration did unveil a plan this week to fight chicken flu, however how a lot which may ease egg costs — a key driver of inflation — stays to be seen.

“Donald Trump promised to decrease meals costs on ‘Day One’, however with egg costs skyrocketing uncontrolled, he fired the employees charged with containing chicken flu. Working households want aid now,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren mentioned in a press release.

The trade, and most consultants, squarely blame chicken flu. Greater than 166 million birds have been slaughtered to comprise the virus. Some 30 million egg layers have been worn out simply since January, considerably disrupting egg provides. The Division of Agriculture’s longstanding coverage has been to kill complete flocks anytime the virus is discovered on a farm.

In consequence, the variety of egg layers has dropped nationwide by about 12% from earlier than the outbreak to 292 million birds, in response to a Feb. 1 USDA estimate, however one other 11 million egg layers have been killed since then, so it is seemingly worse. When costs spiked to $4.82 two years in the past and prompted preliminary requires worth gouging probes, the flock was above 300 million.

“This has nothing to do with something aside from chicken flu. And I believe to counsel anything is a misreading of the info and the fact,” American Egg Board President Emily Metz mentioned.

“Our farmers are within the struggle of their lives, interval, full cease. They usually’re doing all the things they’ll to maintain these birds protected,” Metz mentioned. “This can be a provide problem. Because of chicken flu. Nothing else.”

Farm Motion suspects monopolistic conduct. The group that lobbies on behalf of smaller farmers, customers and rural communities notes that egg manufacturing is barely down about 4% from final 12 months and a few 7.57 billion desk eggs have been produced final month, but some customers are nonetheless discovering egg cabinets empty at their native grocery shops.

“Dominant egg companies are blaming avian flu for the value hikes that we’re seeing. However whereas the egg provide has fallen solely barely, these firms income have soared,” mentioned Angela Huffman, Farm Motion’s president. The Justice Division acknowledged receiving the group’s letter calling for an investigation however declined to touch upon it.

The truth that a jury dominated in 2023 that main egg producers used varied means to restrict the home provide of eggs to extend the value of merchandise throughout the 2000s solely provides to the doubts about their motives now.

What do the numbers present?

Retail egg costs had typically remained under $2 per dozen for years earlier than this outbreak started. Costs have greater than doubled since then, boosting income for egg producers at the same time as they cope with hovering prices.

Many of the dominant producers are privately held firms and do not launch their outcomes. However the greatest, Cal-Maine Meals, which provides about 20% of the nation’s eggs, is public, and its income elevated dramatically. Cal-Maine reported a $219 million revenue in the newest quarter when its eggs offered for a mean of $2.74 per dozen, up from simply $1.2 million within the quarter simply earlier than this outbreak started in early 2022 when its eggs have been promoting for $1.37 per dozen.

Sherman Miller, Cal-Maine’s president and CEO, mentioned in reporting the numbers that greater market costs “have continued to rise this fiscal 12 months as provide ranges of shell eggs have been restricted attributable to latest outbreaks of extremely pathogenic avian influenza.”

However he mentioned Cal-Maine additionally offered considerably extra eggs — some 330 million dozens, up from 288 million the 12 months earlier than — within the quarter as a result of demand is so sturdy and Cal-Maine has made various acquisitions. Cal-Maine additionally suffered few outbreaks on its farms, outdoors of a pair services in Kansas and Texas. The Mississippi-based firm did not reply to calls from The Related Press.

What about manufacturing prices?

Economists and analysts say the file egg costs aren’t a certain signal of one thing nefarious, and short-term income may solely final till farms get hit. As soon as a flock is slaughtered, it will possibly take so long as a 12 months to wash a farm and lift new birds to egg-laying age. The USDA pays farmers for each chicken killed, but it surely would not cowl all the prices for farmers as they go with out earnings.

“The patron, I believe, will in all probability really feel like they’re getting the tough finish of the stick. However I assure you, the farmers which are having to depopulate the barns, they’re having a rougher time,” CoBank analyst Brian Earnest mentioned.

Inflation within the prices of feed and gas and labor have contributed to rising egg costs, and farmers have been investing in biosecurity measures to assist preserve the virus away. So manufacturing prices additionally look like at an all-time excessive, in response to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer worth index.

“This isn’t a case the place they’re taking the value as much as gouge the market. It’s the worth goes up by public sale at wholesale. They usually’re benefiting from greater costs as a result of provides are tight,” College of Arkansas agricultural economist Jada Thompson mentioned.

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